[BREAKING] Interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt has tripled since 2020, and it already costs taxpayers more than defense and Medicaid

Federal interest costs now exceed defense and Medicaid spending, projected to reach $2.1 trillion by 2036

Jordan Hayes
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[BREAKING] Interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt has tripled since 2020, and it already costs taxpayers more than defense and Medicaid

Why This Matters

Why this matters: Rising federal interest payments signal structural fiscal pressures that will constrain government spending and potentially impact economic conditions affecting corporate operations and investment strategies.

HEADLINE: U.S. Interest Payments Hit $970 Billion Annually, Now Exceed Defense and Medicaid Spending

LEAD: The federal government is now spending nearly $970 billion annually to service interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt—a figure that has nearly tripled since 2020 and already surpasses spending on national defense or Medicaid, according to a February analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

BODY: The surge stems from two factors: a ballooning debt load and sharply elevated interest rates climbing from near-zero pandemic lows. As a share of GDP, interest costs have doubled from 1.6% in 2021 to a record 3.2% in 2025.

Budget experts characterize the trajectory as a fiscal emergency receiving comparatively little public attention despite its scale. The Congressional Budget Office projects net interest costs will more than double again, reaching $2.1 trillion by 2036. Over the same period, debt held by the public is expected to grow 86%—roughly $26 trillion—while average interest rates on that debt rise another half percentage point.

WHAT'S NEXT: CFOs and finance leaders should monitor CBO projections as Congress faces mounting pressure to address the structural deficit. Interest payments are now the fastest-growing federal budget item, crowding out discretionary spending and entitlements.

Originally Reported By
Fortune

Fortune

fortune.com

Why We Covered This

Finance leaders must understand federal fiscal trajectory as rising interest costs reduce discretionary spending capacity, affecting government contracts, economic growth assumptions, and long-term financial planning.

Key Takeaways
The federal government is now spending nearly $970 billion annually to service interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt—a figure that has nearly tripled since 2020
As a share of GDP, interest costs have doubled from 1.6% in 2021 to a record 3.2% in 2025
The Congressional Budget Office projects net interest costs will more than double again, reaching $2.1 trillion by 2036
Key Figures
$$970B government_spendingAnnual federal interest payments on national debt$$38.8T debtTotal U.S. national debt$$2.1T projected_spendingProjected net interest costs by 2036%3.2% ratioInterest costs as share of GDP in 2025
Key DatesReference Year:2025Projection:2036
Affected Workflows
BudgetingForecastingTreasury
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WRITTEN BY

Alex Rivera

M&A correspondent covering deals, valuations, and strategic transactions.

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