[BREAKING] Interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt has tripled since 2020, and it already costs taxpayers more than defense and Medicaid

Federal interest costs now exceed defense and Medicaid spending, projected to reach $2.1 trillion by 2036

Jordan Hayes
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[BREAKING] Interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt has tripled since 2020, and it already costs taxpayers more than defense and Medicaid

Why This Matters

Why this matters: Rising federal interest costs will constrain government spending flexibility and potentially increase corporate borrowing costs, affecting capital planning and treasury strategies.

HEADLINE: U.S. Interest Payments Hit $970 Billion Annually, Now Exceed Defense and Medicaid Spending

LEAD: The federal government is now spending nearly $970 billion annually to service interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt—a figure that has nearly tripled since 2020 and already surpasses spending on national defense or Medicaid, according to a February analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

BODY: The surge stems from two converging pressures: a ballooning federal debt load and sharply elevated interest rates climbing from near-zero pandemic lows. As a share of GDP, interest costs have doubled from 1.6% in 2021 to 3.2% in 2025.

Budget experts characterize the trajectory as a fiscal emergency, though it receives comparatively little public or political attention relative to other major spending categories.

The outlook darkens further. The Congressional Budget Office projects net interest costs will more than double again—reaching $2.1 trillion by 2036. Between now and 2036, debt held by the public is expected to grow 86%, adding roughly $26 trillion, while average interest rates on that debt will rise another half percentage point.

WHAT'S NEXT: CFOs and finance leaders should monitor CBO projections for fiscal year 2026 and beyond, as interest cost trajectories will increasingly constrain federal spending flexibility and potentially affect corporate borrowing conditions.

Originally Reported By
Fortune

Fortune

fortune.com

Why We Covered This

Finance leaders must understand how escalating federal interest costs will reshape government spending priorities, credit markets, and borrowing conditions for corporate treasury operations.

Key Takeaways
The federal government is now spending nearly $970 billion annually to service interest on the $38.8 trillion national debt—a figure that has nearly tripled since 2020
As a share of GDP, interest costs have doubled from 1.6% in 2021 to 3.2% in 2025
The Congressional Budget Office projects net interest costs will more than double again—reaching $2.1 trillion by 2036
Key Figures
$$970B government_spendingAnnual federal interest payments on national debt$$38.8T debtTotal U.S. national debt$$2.1T projected_spendingProjected net interest costs by 2036$$26T projected_debt_increaseExpected growth in debt held by public between now and 2036
Key DatesReference Period:2020Current Year:2025Projection:2036
Affected Workflows
BudgetingForecastingTreasury
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WRITTEN BY

Alex Rivera

M&A correspondent covering deals, valuations, and strategic transactions.

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